Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw preview
In the upcoming match between Motor Lublin and Slask Wroclaw, the 1X2 probabilities show Motor Lublin at 41%, Slask Wroclaw at 32%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model also indicates a 55% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score.
Motor Lublin has expected goals of 1.54, while Slask Wroclaw has 1.34. Recent form shows Motor Lublin with a record of D-L-L-W-L-D, and Slask Wroclaw at L-L-L-W-D-D. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting that factors like form or player performance could influence the outcome.
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw: model vs market
| Source | Motor Lublin | Draw | Slask Wroclaw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Published | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Edge | +5% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Motor Lublin below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.96, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Motor Lublin, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 1.98 | 1.92 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.68 | 3.75 | +0.07 |
| Slask Wroclaw | 3.32 | 3.47 | +0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Motor Lublin and Slask Wroclaw expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.33
- Attack rating (Motor Lublin / Slask Wroclaw)
- 1.04 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Motor Lublin / Slask Wroclaw)
- 1.10 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Motor Lublin goals. Columns: Slask Wroclaw goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motor Lublin | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Slask Wroclaw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Motor Lublin or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Slask Wroclaw) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Motor Lublin win by 2+ | 32% | 3.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Motor Lublin and Slask Wroclaw recent form
Motor Lublin
2W 1D 3L
Slask Wroclaw
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Motor Lublin at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slask Wroclaw away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Motor Lublin at home only, Slask Wroclaw away only.
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Motor Lublin 1 · draws 1 · Slask Wroclaw 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Slask Wroclaw | 1-1 | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-09-28 | Motor Lublin | 2-1 | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow 2026-10-16
- GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Cracovia Krakow v Legia Warszawa — match page 2026-10-17
- Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice 2026-10-18
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce 2026-10-18
- Wisla Plock v Radomiak Radom — match page 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Motor Lublin, previous: Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin analysis
- Motor Lublin, next: Motor Lublin – Raków Częstochowa, 2026-10-27
- Slask Wroclaw, previous: Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan prediction