Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole preview
In the I Liga fixture between Polonia Bytom and Odra Opole, the 1X2 probabilities show Polonia Bytom at 49%, while Odra Opole sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% chance of occurring. Polonia Bytom's expected goals are 1.40 compared to Odra Opole's 0.82, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the match could produce surprises. Both teams to score has a probability of 43%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 38%. Odra Opole's recent form includes 4 losses in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance. Meanwhile, Polonia Bytom has a solid recent record with 4 wins in their last 5 games.
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole: model vs market
| Source | Polonia Bytom | Draw | Odra Opole |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Polonia Bytom and Odra Opole expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.22
- Attack rating (Polonia Bytom / Odra Opole)
- 1.08 / 0.60
- Defence rating (Polonia Bytom / Odra Opole)
- 1.02 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Polonia Bytom goals. Columns: Odra Opole goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Bytom | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Odra Opole | 21% | 4.82 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Polonia Bytom or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Odra Opole) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Polonia Bytom win by 2+ | 25% | 4.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Polonia Bytom and Odra Opole recent form
Polonia Bytom
4W 2D 0L
Odra Opole
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Polonia Bytom at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Odra Opole away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Polonia Bytom at home only, Odra Opole away only.
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Polonia Bytom 1 · draws 1 · Odra Opole 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Odra Opole | 0-2 | Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| 2025-10-19 | Polonia Bytom | 0-0 | Odra Opole | I Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec 2026-10-30
- Miedz Legnica v Nieciecza — match page 2026-10-31
- Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Podbeskidzie v Warta Poznań — match page 2026-10-31
- ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Stal Rzeszów v Puszcza Niepołomice — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Polonia Bytom, previous: Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom prediction
- Odra Opole, previous: Odra Opole – Slask Wroclaw, 2026-10-29