Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia preview
In the I Liga fixture between Chrobry Głogów and Arka Gdynia, the 1X2 probabilities show Chrobry Głogów at 36% and Arka Gdynia at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance. Chrobry Głogów has a slight edge in expected goals at 1.25 compared to Arka Gdynia's 1.11.
However, both teams to score stands at 49%, indicating a close contest. Chrobry Głogów's recent form shows 2 wins and 4 draws, while Arka Gdynia has lost 5 of their last 6 matches. This recent form could impact the match outcome, making it difficult to predict a clear winner.
Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia: model vs market
| Source | Chrobry Głogów | Draw | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Published | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.83, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Chrobry Głogów, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-28.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Głogów | 2.78 | 2.62 | -0.15 |
| Draw | 3.14 | 3.06 | -0.08 |
| Arka Gdynia | 2.35 | 2.52 | +0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Chrobry Głogów and Arka Gdynia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.36
- Attack rating (Chrobry Głogów / Arka Gdynia)
- 0.77 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Chrobry Głogów / Arka Gdynia)
- 0.85 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chrobry Głogów goals. Columns: Arka Gdynia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chrobry Głogów | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Arka Gdynia | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chrobry Głogów or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Arka Gdynia) | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chrobry Głogów win by 2+ | 17% | 5.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chrobry Głogów and Arka Gdynia recent form
Chrobry Głogów
1W 2D 3L
Arka Gdynia
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chrobry Głogów at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arka Gdynia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-5
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chrobry Głogów at home only, Arka Gdynia away only.
Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Chrobry Głogów 5 · draws 1 · Arka Gdynia 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Chrobry Głogów | 2-2 | Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| 2024-09-29 | Arka Gdynia | 2-0 | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| 2024-04-05 | Arka Gdynia | 2-1 | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| 2023-09-23 | Chrobry Głogów | 1-0 | Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| 2023-04-21 | Chrobry Głogów | 0-3 | Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| 2022-09-16 | Arka Gdynia | 3-4 | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| 2022-05-26 | Arka Gdynia | 0-2 | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| 2021-11-27 | Chrobry Głogów | 1-0 | Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| 2021-08-07 | Arka Gdynia | 0-2 | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| 2021-06-13 | Chrobry Głogów | 0-3 | Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Miedz Legnica v Nieciecza — match page 2026-10-31
- Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Podbeskidzie v Warta Poznań — match page 2026-10-31
- Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Stal Rzeszów v Puszcza Niepołomice — match page 2026-11-02
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów 2026-11-03
Before and after this match
- Chrobry Głogów, previous: Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom prediction
- Chrobry Głogów, next: Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów prediction
- Arka Gdynia, previous: Arka Gdynia v Stal Rzeszów analysis
- Arka Gdynia, next: Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie: odds and pick