Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź preview
Warta Poznań faces ŁKS Łódź with a 36% chance for the visitors to win and a 35% chance for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with expected goals of 1.21 for Warta Poznań and 0.91 for ŁKS Łódź.
While both teams to score stands at 43%, the recent form shows Warta Poznań with two wins in their last six matches, while ŁKS Łódź has only one win in their last six. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the predicted scoreline. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź: model vs market
| Source | Warta Poznań | Draw | ŁKS Łódź |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Published | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Edge | +2% | +1% | -3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.36, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź odds movement
Median bookmaker price on ŁKS Łódź, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań | 2.79 | 2.75 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.24 | 3.30 | +0.06 |
| ŁKS Łódź | 2.28 | 2.29 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Warta Poznań and ŁKS Łódź expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.12
- Attack rating (Warta Poznań / ŁKS Łódź)
- 1.00 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Warta Poznań / ŁKS Łódź)
- 0.85 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Warta Poznań goals. Columns: ŁKS Łódź goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| ŁKS Łódź | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.32 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Warta Poznań or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or ŁKS Łódź) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | ŁKS Łódź win by 2+ | 10% | 10.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Warta Poznań and ŁKS Łódź recent form
Warta Poznań
3W 0D 3L
ŁKS Łódź
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Warta Poznań at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
ŁKS Łódź away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Warta Poznań at home only, ŁKS Łódź away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica 2026-10-23
- Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza — match page 2026-10-24
- Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia Gdansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Ruch Chorzów v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — match page 2026-10-25
- Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Warta Poznań, previous: Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice: odds and pick
- ŁKS Łódź, previous: ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie prediction