Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów preview
In the I Liga fixture between Podbeskidzie and Stal Rzeszów, the probabilities show Podbeskidzie at 45% to win, while Stal Rzeszów sits at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score stands at 59%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 55%.
Podbeskidzie's recent form includes 1 win and 5 matches without a win, while Stal Rzeszów has won 6 consecutive matches. The expected goals are close, with Podbeskidzie at 1.39 and Stal Rzeszów at 1.47. A draw is possible, as indicated by the 26% probability, which could affect the outcome of the predictions.
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów: model vs market
| Source | Podbeskidzie | Draw | Stal Rzeszów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Published | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Edge | -3% | +1% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Podbeskidzie, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.86 | 1.87 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 3.46 | 3.46 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Podbeskidzie and Stal Rzeszów expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Podbeskidzie / Stal Rzeszów)
- 0.78 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Podbeskidzie / Stal Rzeszów)
- 0.93 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Podbeskidzie goals. Columns: Stal Rzeszów goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbeskidzie | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Stal Rzeszów | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Podbeskidzie or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Stal Rzeszów) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Podbeskidzie win by 2+ | 16% | 6.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Podbeskidzie and Stal Rzeszów recent form
Podbeskidzie
1W 3D 2L
Stal Rzeszów
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Podbeskidzie at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stal Rzeszów away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Podbeskidzie at home only, Stal Rzeszów away only.
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Podbeskidzie 1 · draws 2 · Stal Rzeszów 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Stal Rzeszów | 3-0 | Podbeskidzie | Poland Cup |
| 2024-04-19 | Stal Rzeszów | 2-2 | Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| 2023-10-07 | Podbeskidzie | 0-1 | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| 2023-04-02 | Podbeskidzie | 2-2 | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| 2022-08-27 | Stal Rzeszów | 5-0 | Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| 2020-08-15 | Stal Rzeszów | 0-1 | Podbeskidzie | Cup |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza — match page 2026-10-24
- Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia Gdansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Ruch Chorzów v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — match page 2026-10-25
- Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Podbeskidzie, previous: ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie prediction
- Stal Rzeszów, previous: Pogoń Siedlce – Stal Rzeszów, 2026-10-18
- Stal Rzeszów, next: Arka Gdynia v Stal Rzeszów analysis