Sporting CP B vs Portimonense preview
In the fixture between Sporting CP B and Portimonense, the 1X2 probabilities show Sporting CP B at 43%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Sporting CP B has a recent form of W-L-W-W-L-W, while Portimonense has W-W-W-L-L-L.
The expected goals are 1.04 for Sporting CP B and 0.92 for Portimonense, suggesting a close match. However, the 31% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score indicate that a low-scoring game is possible. With a confidence grade of C, the outcome could change if Portimonense improves their form or if Sporting CP B fails to capitalize on their chances.
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense: model vs market
| Source | Sporting CP B | Draw | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 34% | 30% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Published | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sporting CP B, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 2.01 | 2.00 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
| Portimonense | 3.50 | 3.54 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sporting CP B and Portimonense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.96
- Attack rating (Sporting CP B / Portimonense)
- 0.95 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Sporting CP B / Portimonense)
- 0.83 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sporting CP B goals. Columns: Portimonense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sporting CP B vs Portimonense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP B | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Portimonense | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.49 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sporting CP B or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Portimonense) | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP B win by 2+ | 15% | 6.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sporting CP B and Portimonense recent form
Sporting CP B
4W 0D 2L
Portimonense
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sporting CP B at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portimonense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sporting CP B at home only, Portimonense away only.
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Sporting CP B 2 · draws 0 · Portimonense 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Sporting CP B | 4-3 | Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| 2025-09-14 | Portimonense | 1-2 | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| 2017-01-15 | Portimonense | 4-0 | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| 2016-08-06 | Sporting CP B | 1-2 | Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Chaves vs Vizela — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Academica v Leixoes — match page 2026-10-24
- Feirense v Benfica B — match page 2026-10-24
- Farense vs Penafiel 2026-10-24
- AVS vs Tondela 2026-10-25
- Felgueiras 1932 v Lusitânia Lourosa — match page 2026-10-25
- FC Porto B vs União de Leiria — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Torreense vs Amarante — team news & stats 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Sporting CP B, previous: Vizela v Sporting CP B analysis
- Portimonense, previous: Florgrade vs Portimonense: odds and pick