Albacete vs Sabadell preview
In the fixture between Albacete and Sabadell, the 1X2 probabilities show Albacete at 20%, a draw at 30%, and Sabadell at 50%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 14% probability.
Albacete has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-L-L-L-D, while Sabadell has a mixed form of L-W-D-D-W-L. Albacete's expected goals stand at 0.79, compared to Sabadell's 1.41. The model suggests a 38% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance for both teams to score, indicating that while Sabadell is favored, an upset is possible if Albacete improves their performance.
Albacete vs Sabadell: model vs market
| Source | Albacete | Draw | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 31% | 44% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Published | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sabadell below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.85, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Albacete vs Sabadell odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sabadell, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 2.55 | 2.56 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.14 | -0.01 |
| Sabadell | 2.78 | 2.70 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Albacete and Sabadell expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.17
- Attack rating (Albacete / Sabadell)
- 0.77 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Albacete / Sabadell)
- 1.32 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Albacete vs Sabadell score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Albacete goals. Columns: Sabadell goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Albacete vs Sabadell goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Albacete vs Sabadell
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albacete | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Sabadell | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| No | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Albacete or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Sabadell) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sabadell win by 2+ | 21% | 4.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Albacete and Sabadell recent form
Albacete
1W 0D 5L
Sabadell
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Albacete at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Sabadell away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Albacete at home only, Sabadell away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Real Sociedad II v Girona — match page 2026-10-31
- Eibar vs Almeria — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Eldense vs Granada — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon 2026-11-01
- Burgos vs Castellón 2026-11-01
- Tenerife v FC Andorra — match page 2026-11-01
- Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Albacete, previous: Calvo Sotelo – Albacete, 2026-10-28
- Sabadell, previous: Utebo vs Sabadell prediction