Real Sociedad II vs Girona preview
In the match between Real Sociedad II and Girona, the 1X2 probabilities show Girona at 56%, compared to Real Sociedad II at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance. Girona's expected goals are 1.92, while Real Sociedad II has 1.08.
Both teams to score stands at 57%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 58%. However, Real Sociedad II's recent form, with five losses followed by one win, could lead to an unexpected outcome. Girona's recent form includes two draws and two wins, indicating they might struggle to maintain their performance.
Real Sociedad II vs Girona: model vs market
| Source | Real Sociedad II | Draw | Girona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14% | 20% | 65% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Published | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Edge | -3% | -1% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Girona below our published probability: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +5.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Real Sociedad II vs Girona odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Girona, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 3.19 | 3.28 | +0.09 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.62 | -0.12 |
| Girona | 2.06 | 2.02 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Real Sociedad II and Girona expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.33
- Attack rating (Real Sociedad II / Girona)
- 0.97 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Real Sociedad II / Girona)
- 1.47 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Real Sociedad II vs Girona score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Real Sociedad II goals. Columns: Girona goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Real Sociedad II vs Girona goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Real Sociedad II vs Girona
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad II | 25% | 4.02 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Girona | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Real Sociedad II or draw) | 49% | 2.04 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Girona) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | Girona win by 2+ | 44% | 2.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Real Sociedad II and Girona recent form
Real Sociedad II
0W 0D 6L
Girona
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Real Sociedad II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Girona away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Real Sociedad II at home only, Girona away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Eibar vs Almeria — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Albacete vs Sabadell 2026-10-31
- Eldense vs Granada — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon 2026-11-01
- Burgos vs Castellón 2026-11-01
- Tenerife v FC Andorra — match page 2026-11-01
- Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Real Sociedad II, previous: Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: odds and pick
- Girona, previous: Cuarte – Girona, 2026-10-27