Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba preview
Celta de Vigo II faces Cordoba with a 31% chance of winning compared to Cordoba's 44%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% probability. Celta de Vigo II has an expected goals figure of 1.80, while Cordoba sits at 1.76.
Both teams to score stands at 70%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 69%. Celta de Vigo II's recent form shows L-D-W-L-D-L, while Cordoba has a stronger W-W-L-W-L-W record. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. A draw or a lower-scoring game could make this outcome less likely.
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Celta de Vigo II | Draw | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Published | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cordoba, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 3.33 | 3.17 | -0.16 |
| Draw | 3.73 | 3.76 | +0.04 |
| Cordoba | 2.08 | 2.00 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Celta de Vigo II and Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.56
- Attack rating (Celta de Vigo II / Cordoba)
- 1.09 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Celta de Vigo II / Cordoba)
- 1.41 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Celta de Vigo II goals. Columns: Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta de Vigo II | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Cordoba | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Celta de Vigo II or draw) | 56% | 1.79 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Cordoba) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cordoba win by 2+ | 20% | 5.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Celta de Vigo II and Cordoba recent form
Celta de Vigo II
1W 2D 3L
Cordoba
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Celta de Vigo II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Celta de Vigo II at home only, Cordoba away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Real Sociedad II v Girona — match page 2026-10-31
- Eibar vs Almeria — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Albacete vs Sabadell 2026-10-31
- Eldense vs Granada — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon 2026-11-01
- Burgos vs Castellón 2026-11-01
- Tenerife v FC Andorra — match page 2026-11-01
- Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Celta de Vigo II, previous: Girona – Celta de Vigo II, 2026-10-24
- Cordoba, previous: Atlético Paso vs Cordoba prediction