Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC preview
In the fixture between Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Colorado Rapids at 49%, while Minnesota United FC sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Colorado Rapids have an expected goals figure of 2.34 compared to Minnesota's 1.41.
The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 69%. However, Minnesota's recent form is concerning, with 5 losses and a draw in their last 6 matches. This could impact their performance, potentially leading to a lower-scoring game than predicted.
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: model vs market
| Source | Colorado Rapids | Draw | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Published | 49% | 24% | 26% |
| Edge | +11% | -5% | -6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Colorado Rapids below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Colorado Rapids, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.62 | +0.00 |
| Minnesota United FC | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.75
- Attack rating (Colorado Rapids / Minnesota United FC)
- 0.96 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Colorado Rapids / Minnesota United FC)
- 0.88 / 1.41
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Colorado Rapids goals. Columns: Minnesota United FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Minnesota United FC | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Colorado Rapids or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Minnesota United FC) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Rapids win by 2+ | 37% | 2.70 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC recent form
Colorado Rapids
2W 2D 2L
Minnesota United FC
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Colorado Rapids at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-3
- Win rate
- 69%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 0.92
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Minnesota United FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-7
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 2.36
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Colorado Rapids at home only, Minnesota United FC away only.
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Colorado Rapids 2 · draws 1 · Minnesota United FC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Minnesota United FC | 0-1 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-28 | Colorado Rapids | 1-1 | Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-08-10 | Minnesota United FC | 1-2 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-15
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page 2026-10-15
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes 2026-10-15
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin 2026-10-15
- San Diego v Houston Dynamo — match page 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- Colorado Rapids, previous: Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes analysis
- Minnesota United FC, previous: Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo prediction