FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders preview
In the fixture between FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Dallas at 52%, while Seattle Sounders is also at 24%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 2-1, with a 9% chance. FC Dallas has an expected goals figure of 1.58, compared to Seattle Sounders' 1.35.
FC Dallas has shown solid recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Seattle Sounders has 3 wins in the same span. Although both teams have a good chance to score, with our model suggesting 60% for both teams to score and 56% for Over 2.5 goals, Seattle’s strong head-to-head record, winning all 3 of their last encounters, could challenge these predictions.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: model vs market
| Source | FC Dallas | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 22% |
| Published | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Edge | -14% | +4% | +10% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Dallas, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.10 | +0.05 |
| Seattle Sounders | 4.40 | 4.33 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (FC Dallas / Seattle Sounders)
- 1.04 / 1.02
- Defence rating (FC Dallas / Seattle Sounders)
- 0.96 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Dallas goals. Columns: Seattle Sounders goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Seattle Sounders | 24% | 4.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Dallas or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Seattle Sounders) | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Dallas win by 2+ | 22% | 4.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders recent form
FC Dallas
4W 2D 0L
Seattle Sounders
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Dallas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-2
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.54
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Seattle Sounders away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-5-5
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 0.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Dallas at home only, Seattle Sounders away only.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FC Dallas 0 · draws 0 · Seattle Sounders 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Seattle Sounders | 2-1 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-24 | Seattle Sounders | 1-0 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Dallas | 0-1 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte 2026-10-14
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page 2026-10-14
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-15
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page 2026-10-15
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes 2026-10-15
- Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC — match page 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- FC Dallas, previous: Charlotte v FC Dallas analysis
- Seattle Sounders, previous: New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders prediction