Columbus Crew vs Charlotte preview
In the upcoming match between Columbus Crew and Charlotte, the 1X2 probabilities show Columbus Crew at 43% and Charlotte at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Columbus Crew's expected goals stand at 1.28, while Charlotte has a higher expectation at 1.45.
Columbus Crew's recent form includes 3 wins and 3 losses, while Charlotte has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 7 matches. The model suggests a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance for both teams to score. Factors like a sudden change in form or injuries could affect these predictions.
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: model vs market
| Source | Columbus Crew | Draw | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Edge | -14% | +3% | +12% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Columbus Crew, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.00 |
| Charlotte | 3.26 | 3.26 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Columbus Crew and Charlotte expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Columbus Crew / Charlotte)
- 0.94 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Columbus Crew / Charlotte)
- 0.96 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Columbus Crew goals. Columns: Charlotte goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Columbus Crew | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Charlotte | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| No | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Columbus Crew or draw) | 69% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Charlotte) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Columbus Crew win by 2+ | 14% | 6.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Columbus Crew and Charlotte recent form
Columbus Crew
3W 0D 3L
Charlotte
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Columbus Crew at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-6
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Charlotte away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-5
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.85
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Columbus Crew at home only, Charlotte away only.
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Columbus Crew 1 · draws 0 · Charlotte 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Charlotte | 3-1 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-24 | Charlotte | 3-2 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-03 | Columbus Crew | 4-2 | Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page 2026-10-14
- DC United vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution 2026-10-14
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page 2026-10-14
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-15
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- Columbus Crew, previous: Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew prediction
- Charlotte, previous: Charlotte v FC Dallas analysis