Los Angeles FC vs Austin preview
In the match between Los Angeles FC and Austin, the 1X2 probabilities show Los Angeles FC at 59% and Austin at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 12% of the time according to our model. While both teams to score stands at 45%, the expected goals indicate a tighter contest with Los Angeles FC at 1.17 and Austin at 1.00.
Los Angeles FC's recent form includes 3 draws and 2 losses, while Austin has 4 draws and 2 wins. The head-to-head record is balanced, with both teams winning 2 matches each in the last 5 encounters. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is Los Angeles FC's struggle to convert draws into wins, which may impact their chances of securing a victory.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin: model vs market
| Source | Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| Published | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Edge | -28% | +12% | +16% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Los Angeles FC, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.42 | 1.42 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.72 | +0.02 |
| Austin | 6.50 | 7.00 | +0.50 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Los Angeles FC and Austin expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.17
- Attack rating (Los Angeles FC / Austin)
- 0.79 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Los Angeles FC / Austin)
- 0.81 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Los Angeles FC goals. Columns: Austin goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Los Angeles FC vs Austin
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 59% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | |
| Austin | 18% | 5.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.22 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Los Angeles FC or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Austin) | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles FC win by 2+ | 17% | 5.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Los Angeles FC and Austin recent form
Los Angeles FC
1W 3D 2L
Austin
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Los Angeles FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 0.85
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-7
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Los Angeles FC at home only, Austin away only.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles FC 2 · draws 1 · Austin 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Austin | 0-0 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-11-03 | Austin | 1-4 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-10-30 | Los Angeles FC | 2-1 | Austin | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-10-12 | Austin | 1-0 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-15 | Los Angeles FC | 0-1 | Austin | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-15
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page 2026-10-15
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes 2026-10-15
- Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC — match page 2026-10-15
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- San Diego v Houston Dynamo — match page 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- Los Angeles FC, previous: Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: odds and pick
- Austin, previous: Austin – Nashville SC, 2026-10-11