Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids preview
Portland Timbers face Colorado Rapids with 42% win probability for the home side compared to 34% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.80 for Portland and 1.60 for Colorado. With both teams to score at 68% and Over 2.5 goals at 66%, there is a strong chance for an entertaining match.
However, recent form shows Portland with a record of D-L-L-L-D-W, while Colorado has D-L-D-W-W-D. This inconsistency could affect the outcome. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions. This match could easily deviate from the expected results based on team performance on the day.
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids: model vs market
| Source | Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Published | 47% | 25% | 29% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.47.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Portland Timbers, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 2.15 | 2.00 | -0.15 |
| Draw | 3.82 | 3.72 | -0.10 |
| Colorado Rapids | 2.90 | 3.25 | +0.35 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.37
- Attack rating (Portland Timbers / Colorado Rapids)
- 1.06 / 0.84
- Defence rating (Portland Timbers / Colorado Rapids)
- 1.27 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Portland Timbers goals. Columns: Colorado Rapids goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portland Timbers | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Colorado Rapids | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Portland Timbers or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Colorado Rapids) | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Portland Timbers win by 2+ | 27% | 3.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids recent form
Portland Timbers
0W 2D 4L
Colorado Rapids
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Portland Timbers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.79
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colorado Rapids away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-10
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Portland Timbers at home only, Colorado Rapids away only.
Injuries & availability
Portland Timbers absences
- A. Bonetig shoulder injury
-
B. Bye
leg injury
-
F. Surman
knee injury
- H. Sulte lower-body injury
-
J. Mosquera
foot injury
-
Z. McGraw
back injury
Colorado Rapids absences
- A. Fadal injury
- D. Yapi injury
-
R. Cannon
leg injury
- S. Abu Farkhi suspended
-
T. Ku-DiPietro
shoulder injury
-
Y. Maziz
injury
-
Z. Steffen
shoulder injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Portland Timbers 6 · draws 1 · Colorado Rapids 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Colorado Rapids | 2-0 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-29 | Portland Timbers | 2-1 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-23 | Colorado Rapids | 0-3 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-15 | Colorado Rapids | 2-1 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-08-02 | Portland Timbers | 4-0 | Colorado Rapids | Leagues Cup |
| 2024-02-25 | Portland Timbers | 4-1 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-09-24 | Portland Timbers | 3-2 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-07-13 | Colorado Rapids | 0-0 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-06-26 | Portland Timbers | 3-0 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-05-01 | Colorado Rapids | 2-0 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v DC United — match page 2026-10-17
- New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake 2026-10-18
- Austin v Vancouver Whitecaps — match page 2026-10-18
- Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC 2026-10-18
- Los Angeles Galaxy v San Diego — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Portland Timbers, previous: Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers, 2026-10-15
- Colorado Rapids, previous: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC prediction