Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake preview
Sporting Kansas City faces Real Salt Lake with a 38% chance for each team to win, while a draw stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 2.04 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.49 for Real Salt Lake. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 68%, indicating a strong likelihood of an open match.
Sporting Kansas City's recent form shows 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Real Salt Lake has lost 5 of their last 6. Additionally, in their last 3 meetings, Sporting Kansas City has not secured a win, with 1 draw and 2 losses. These factors could influence the outcome, despite the equal winning probabilities.
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: model vs market
| Source | Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Published | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| Edge | +8% | 0% | -8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Real Salt Lake, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.85 | 3.86 | +0.01 |
| Real Salt Lake | 2.25 | 2.25 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Sporting Kansas City / Real Salt Lake)
- 0.98 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Sporting Kansas City / Real Salt Lake)
- 1.44 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sporting Kansas City goals. Columns: Real Salt Lake goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Kansas City | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Real Salt Lake | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.48 |
| No | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sporting Kansas City or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Real Salt Lake) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Salt Lake win by 2+ | 17% | 6.01 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake recent form
Sporting Kansas City
2W 1D 3L
Real Salt Lake
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sporting Kansas City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-7
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.07
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
Real Salt Lake away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-10
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sporting Kansas City at home only, Real Salt Lake away only.
Injuries & availability
Sporting Kansas City absences
-
Diego Borges
groin injury
- J. Reynolds muscle injury
- L. Johnsen hamstring injury
-
M. Mosquera
hamstring injury
-
O. Blorian
chest injury
-
O. Wolff
muscle injury
Real Salt Lake absences
-
D. Luna
knee injury
-
E. Eneli
knee injury
-
G. Dillon
foot injury
-
J. Glad
groin injury
-
J. J. Arias
hamstring injury
-
L. De Fougerolles
injury
-
L. Engel
hamstring injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Sporting Kansas City 2 · draws 3 · Real Salt Lake 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Real Salt Lake | 3-1 | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-14 | Real Salt Lake | 2-1 | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-06-29 | Sporting Kansas City | 1-1 | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-06-20 | Sporting Kansas City | 3-4 | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-05-05 | Real Salt Lake | 1-0 | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-10-08 | Real Salt Lake | 2-3 | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-07-13 | Sporting Kansas City | 2-2 | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-02-08 | Sporting Kansas City | 2-2 | Real Salt Lake | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-07-18 | Real Salt Lake | 3-0 | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-03-27 | Sporting Kansas City | 1-0 | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v DC United — match page 2026-10-17
- New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami 2026-10-17
- New England Revolution v Chicago Fire — match page 2026-10-17
- New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC 2026-10-17
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Austin v Vancouver Whitecaps — match page 2026-10-18
- Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Sporting Kansas City, previous: Nashville SC – Sporting Kansas City, 2026-10-15
- Real Salt Lake, previous: Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes: odds and pick