Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal preview
In the matchup between Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal, the 1X2 probabilities show Seattle at 69% to win, while Montreal sits at just 11%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, with a 11% chance. Seattle's expected goals are 2.32 compared to Montreal's 0.85, indicating a significant offensive advantage.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions. While there's a 61% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score, factors like CF Montreal's recent poor form, losing 6 of their last 7 matches, could impact the outcome. If Seattle underperforms or Montreal surprises, the predictions may not hold.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: model vs market
| Source | Seattle Sounders | Draw | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70% | 20% | 10% |
| Market | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Published | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Edge | +2% | +1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Seattle Sounders, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 1.52 | 1.36 | -0.16 |
| Draw | 4.50 | 5.00 | +0.50 |
| CF Montreal | 5.50 | 7.20 | +1.70 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.90
- Attack rating (Seattle Sounders / CF Montreal)
- 1.02 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Seattle Sounders / CF Montreal)
- 0.77 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Seattle Sounders goals. Columns: CF Montreal goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.28 | |
| CF Montreal | 12% | 8.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Seattle Sounders or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or CF Montreal) | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Seattle Sounders win by 2+ | 47% | 2.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal recent form
Seattle Sounders
4W 1D 1L
CF Montreal
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Seattle Sounders at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
CF Montreal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-11
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 2.71
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Seattle Sounders at home only, CF Montreal away only.
Injuries & availability
Seattle Sounders absences
-
N. Petkovic
knee injury
-
P. Rothrock
hamstring injury
-
P. de La Vega
calf injury
CF Montreal absences
-
B. Ceballos
lower-body injury
-
B. Hidalgo
groin injury
-
T. Gillier
upper-body injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Seattle Sounders 3 · draws 1 · CF Montreal 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | Seattle Sounders | 5-0 | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-06-30 | Seattle Sounders | 1-2 | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| 2019-06-05 | CF Montreal | 2-1 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2018-04-01 | Seattle Sounders | 0-1 | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| 2017-03-12 | CF Montreal | 2-2 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2016-04-03 | Seattle Sounders | 1-0 | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| 2015-07-26 | CF Montreal | 1-0 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2014-03-23 | CF Montreal | 0-2 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2013-03-03 | Seattle Sounders | 0-1 | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| 2012-06-16 | CF Montreal | 4-1 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
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Before and after this match
- Seattle Sounders, previous: FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: odds and pick
- CF Montreal, previous: CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC: odds and pick