Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven preview
Charleston Battery face Indy Eleven with a 67% probability of winning, compared to Indy Eleven's 13%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Charleston's expected goals of 2.15 against Indy Eleven's 0.84.
Charleston Battery's recent form shows 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, while Indy Eleven has lost all of their last 6 games. The forecast suggests a 58% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance for both teams to score. However, if Indy Eleven improves their performance or if Charleston Battery underperforms, these predictions could change.
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven: model vs market
| Source | Charleston Battery | Draw | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Published | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charleston Battery below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Charleston Battery, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 1.56 | 1.57 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.92 | 3.98 | +0.06 |
| Indy Eleven | 4.80 | 4.71 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Charleston Battery and Indy Eleven expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.00
- Attack rating (Charleston Battery / Indy Eleven)
- 1.15 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Charleston Battery / Indy Eleven)
- 0.83 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Charleston Battery goals. Columns: Indy Eleven goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | |
| Indy Eleven | 18% | 5.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Charleston Battery or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Indy Eleven) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win by 2+ | 43% | 2.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Charleston Battery and Indy Eleven recent form
Charleston Battery
3W 2D 1L
Indy Eleven
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Charleston Battery at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-2-2
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.57
- Goals against / match
- 0.79
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Indy Eleven away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-9
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 0.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Charleston Battery at home only, Indy Eleven away only.
Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Charleston Battery 2 · draws 0 · Indy Eleven 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Indy Eleven | 2-0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2025-09-06 | Charleston Battery | 2-1 | Indy Eleven | USL Championship |
| 2025-04-19 | Indy Eleven | 1-3 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
Other Group Stage fixtures
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- Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island 2026-10-24
- Louisville City v Detroit City — match page 2026-10-24
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX 2026-10-24
- San Antonio vs Orange County SC 2026-10-25
- Colorado Springs v FC Tulsa — match page 2026-10-25
- El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Charleston Battery, previous: Miami FC v Charleston Battery analysis
- Indy Eleven, previous: Louisville City – Indy Eleven, 2026-10-17