Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa preview
In the upcoming match between Colorado Springs and FC Tulsa, the 1X2 probabilities show Colorado Springs at 55%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 16%. Colorado Springs has an expected goals figure of 1.11, while FC Tulsa sits lower at 0.78.
However, Colorado Springs has not been dominant recently, with a form of W-D-D-D-D-W. FC Tulsa, despite their lower probability of winning at 19%, has managed to secure draws in 3 of their last 6 matches. The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 29%, and both teams to score is at 38%, indicating that while Colorado Springs is favored, the outcome could be influenced by FC Tulsa's ability to improve their attacking play.
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa: model vs market
| Source | Colorado Springs | Draw | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 34% | 24% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Published | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Edge | -4% | +3% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.59, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Colorado Springs, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs | 1.53 | 1.54 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.88 | 3.88 | +0.00 |
| FC Tulsa | 5.15 | 5.10 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Colorado Springs and FC Tulsa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.89
- Attack rating (Colorado Springs / FC Tulsa)
- 0.86 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Colorado Springs / FC Tulsa)
- 0.75 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Colorado Springs goals. Columns: FC Tulsa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Springs | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| FC Tulsa | 19% | 5.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.67 |
| No | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Colorado Springs or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Tulsa) | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Springs win by 2+ | 18% | 5.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Colorado Springs and FC Tulsa recent form
Colorado Springs
2W 4D 0L
FC Tulsa
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Colorado Springs at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Tulsa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Colorado Springs at home only, FC Tulsa away only.
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Colorado Springs 6 · draws 1 · FC Tulsa 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | FC Tulsa | 1-2 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2025-11-02 | FC Tulsa | 1-0 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2025-10-26 | FC Tulsa | 3-0 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2025-08-31 | Colorado Springs | 2-0 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Tulsa | 1-4 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2024-07-05 | Colorado Springs | 1-0 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
| 2023-08-10 | Colorado Springs | 1-1 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
| 2022-04-24 | FC Tulsa | 0-2 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2020-10-04 | FC Tulsa | 2-0 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2019-07-14 | Colorado Springs | 1-0 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
Other Group Stage fixtures
- Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island 2026-10-24
- Louisville City v Detroit City — match page 2026-10-24
- Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX 2026-10-24
- San Antonio vs Orange County SC 2026-10-25
- El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Phoenix Rising v Lexington — match page 2026-10-25
- Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Colorado Springs, previous: Monterey Bay – Colorado Springs, 2026-10-18
- FC Tulsa, previous: FC Tulsa – Oakland Roots, 2026-10-18