FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots preview
In the match between FC Tulsa and Oakland Roots, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Tulsa at 41%, while Oakland Roots is at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of FC Tulsa, with a 20% chance of occurring.
Both teams have struggled to score, with expected goals of 0.91 for FC Tulsa and 0.54 for Oakland Roots. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is only 18%, and both teams to score sits at 26%. Recent form indicates FC Tulsa has drawn four of their last six matches, while Oakland Roots has two wins in that span. This could impact the outcome, as both teams may prioritize defense.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots: model vs market
| Source | FC Tulsa | Draw | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Published | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Edge | -5% | +12% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.54.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Tulsa, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tulsa | 1.99 | 1.96 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.32 | -0.02 |
| Oakland Roots | 3.30 | 3.32 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Tulsa and Oakland Roots expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.45
- Attack rating (FC Tulsa / Oakland Roots)
- 0.80 / 0.74
- Defence rating (FC Tulsa / Oakland Roots)
- 0.62 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Tulsa goals. Columns: Oakland Roots goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 26%
- No goals (0–0)
- 25%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tulsa | 45% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Oakland Roots | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18% | 5.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26% | 3.83 |
| No | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Tulsa or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Oakland Roots) | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tulsa win by 2+ | 16% | 6.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Tulsa and Oakland Roots recent form
FC Tulsa
1W 4D 1L
Oakland Roots
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Tulsa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oakland Roots away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.23
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Tulsa at home only, Oakland Roots away only.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FC Tulsa 2 · draws 2 · Oakland Roots 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Oakland Roots | 1-1 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
| 2025-09-21 | Oakland Roots | 1-1 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Tulsa | 1-2 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2024-09-29 | Oakland Roots | 0-1 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
| 2024-05-25 | FC Tulsa | 0-1 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2023-09-17 | Oakland Roots | 0-1 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
Other Group Stage fixtures
- Hartford Athletic v Brooklyn — match page 2026-10-17
- Louisville City vs Indy Eleven — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Miami FC vs Charleston Battery 2026-10-17
- Tampa Bay Rowdies v Detroit City — match page 2026-10-17
- Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- San Antonio v New Mexico United — match page 2026-10-18
- El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- FC Tulsa, previous: Lexington vs FC Tulsa: odds and pick
- Oakland Roots, previous: Oakland Roots v San Antonio analysis