Miami FC vs Charleston Battery preview
In the match between Miami FC and Charleston Battery, the 1X2 probabilities show Miami FC at 32%, a draw at 26%, and Charleston Battery at 42%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score is projected at 62%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%.
Miami FC's recent form includes 1 loss and 4 wins, while Charleston Battery has 2 wins and 1 loss in their last 3 matches. The expected goals are 1.39 for Miami FC and 1.64 for Charleston Battery. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Factors like player performance or unexpected events could influence the outcome.
Miami FC vs Charleston Battery: model vs market
| Source | Miami FC | Draw | Charleston Battery |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Published | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Edge | +3% | +2% | -5% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Miami FC vs Charleston Battery odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Charleston Battery, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC | 2.87 | 2.96 | +0.09 |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.62 | +0.08 |
| Charleston Battery | 2.13 | 2.05 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Miami FC and Charleston Battery expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Miami FC / Charleston Battery)
- 1.10 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Miami FC / Charleston Battery)
- 1.11 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Miami FC vs Charleston Battery score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Miami FC goals. Columns: Charleston Battery goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Miami FC vs Charleston Battery goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Miami FC vs Charleston Battery
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Miami FC | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Charleston Battery | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Miami FC or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Charleston Battery) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win by 2+ | 20% | 5.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Miami FC and Charleston Battery recent form
Miami FC
4W 1D 1L
Charleston Battery
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Miami FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-5
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.79
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charleston Battery away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Miami FC at home only, Charleston Battery away only.
Miami FC vs Charleston Battery head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Miami FC 5 · draws 1 · Charleston Battery 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Charleston Battery | 5-0 | Miami FC | USL Championship |
| 2025-07-19 | Charleston Battery | 3-0 | Miami FC | USL Championship |
| 2025-06-18 | Miami FC | 1-0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2024-07-19 | Charleston Battery | 2-0 | Miami FC | USL Championship |
| 2024-03-30 | Miami FC | 1-2 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2023-10-07 | Charleston Battery | 1-2 | Miami FC | USL Championship |
| 2023-07-15 | Miami FC | 1-1 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2022-07-13 | Miami FC | 1-0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2022-05-21 | Charleston Battery | 0-4 | Miami FC | USL Championship |
| 2021-10-31 | Charleston Battery | 0-4 | Miami FC | USL Championship |
Other Group Stage fixtures
- Hartford Athletic v Brooklyn — match page 2026-10-17
- Louisville City vs Indy Eleven — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Tampa Bay Rowdies v Detroit City — match page 2026-10-17
- Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots 2026-10-18
- San Antonio v New Mexico United — match page 2026-10-18
- El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Miami FC, previous: Miami FC vs Loudoun United prediction
- Charleston Battery, previous: Hartford Athletic – Charleston Battery, 2026-10-14