Deportivo Pereira vs Chico preview
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Pereira and Chico, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Pereira at 38%, with both a draw and Chico at 31%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which occurs 13% of the time. The expected goals are closely matched, with Deportivo Pereira at 0.92 and Chico at 0.95.
Recent form highlights Deportivo Pereira's struggles, with 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 matches. Chico has a mixed record, with 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6. While both teams to score stands at 38%, the low expected goals could mean a lack of scoring opportunities. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Chico |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 35% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Published | 39% | 31% | 31% |
| Edge | -5% | +5% | 0% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Pereira, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.15 | +0.00 |
| Chico | 3.10 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Deportivo Pereira and Chico expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.90
- Attack rating (Deportivo Pereira / Chico)
- 0.64 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Deportivo Pereira / Chico)
- 1.13 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Pereira goals. Columns: Chico goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Pereira vs Chico
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 39% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.27 | |
| Chico | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.58 |
| No | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Pereira or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Chico) | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Pereira win by 2+ | 14% | 7.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Deportivo Pereira and Chico recent form
Deportivo Pereira
0W 4D 2L
Chico
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Pereira at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-7-7
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 2 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chico away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-13
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.62
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 16
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 31 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Pereira at home only, Chico away only.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 0 · draws 2 · Chico 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Chico | 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2025-09-22 | Chico | 1-1 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2025-04-06 | Deportivo Pereira | 1-1 | Chico | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima 2026-10-18
- Bucaramanga v America de Cali — match page 2026-10-18
- Llaneros vs Santa Fe 2026-10-18
- Deportivo Cali v Junior — match page 2026-10-19
- Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar 2026-10-20
- Internacional de Bogota v Fortaleza FC — match page 2026-10-20
- Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional — team news & stats 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Pereira, previous: Junior – Deportivo Pereira, 2026-10-14
- Chico, previous: Chico – Atletico Nacional, 2026-10-17
- Chico, next: Chico – Bucaramanga, 2026-10-23