Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna preview
In the Liga MX fixture between Club Tijuana and Santos Laguna, the 1X2 probabilities show Club Tijuana at 42%, Santos Laguna at 31%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Club Tijuana, with a 7% chance. However, Club Tijuana's recent form is concerning, with 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 matches.
Santos Laguna is in strong form, winning their last 6 matches. The expected goals suggest Club Tijuana will score 1.07 while Santos Laguna is projected to score 1.49. With 52% for both teams to score and 47% for Over 2.5 goals, the match could swing if Club Tijuana manages to improve their performance.
Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna: model vs market
| Source | Club Tijuana | Draw | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 27% |
| Published | 42% | 26% | 31% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Club Tijuana, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | 1.88 | 1.95 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.60 | -0.04 |
| Santos Laguna | 3.70 | 3.50 | -0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Club Tijuana and Santos Laguna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.56
- Attack rating (Club Tijuana / Santos Laguna)
- 0.88 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Club Tijuana / Santos Laguna)
- 1.03 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Tijuana goals. Columns: Santos Laguna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Tijuana | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Santos Laguna | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Tijuana or draw) | 69% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Santos Laguna) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Tijuana win by 2+ | 10% | 9.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Club Tijuana and Santos Laguna recent form
Club Tijuana
0W 4D 2L
Santos Laguna
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Tijuana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
Santos Laguna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Tijuana at home only, Santos Laguna away only.
Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Club Tijuana 0 · draws 0 · Santos Laguna 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Club Tijuana | 1-2 | Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| 2025-09-25 | Santos Laguna | 1-0 | Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
- Necaxa v FC Juarez — match page 2026-10-24
- Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Leon vs Toluca 2026-10-24
- Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas — match page 2026-10-25
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Atlas vs Puebla 2026-10-25
- Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul — team news & stats 2026-10-26
- Club America v CF Pachuca — match page 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Club Tijuana, previous: Toluca v Club Tijuana analysis
- Club Tijuana, next: Club America – Club Tijuana, 2026-10-29
- Santos Laguna, previous: Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 2026-10-22