FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 preview
In the Eerste Divisie match between FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Eindhoven at 41%, Jong PSV U21 at 34%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has an 8% chance of occurring.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with FC Eindhoven recording 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Jong PSV U21 has 1 win and 4 draws in the same period. The expected goals are close, with FC Eindhoven at 1.41 and Jong PSV U21 at 1.52. Factors like poor defensive performance or a lack of finishing could affect the outcomes for Over 2.5 goals, which our model predicts at 56%, and both teams to score, at 60%.
FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21: model vs market
| Source | FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
| Published | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Edge | -7% | +3% | +4% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Eindhoven, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 2.13 | 2.30 | +0.17 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.88 | +0.08 |
| Jong PSV U21 | 2.87 | 2.69 | -0.18 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (FC Eindhoven / Jong PSV U21)
- 0.79 / 0.85
- Defence rating (FC Eindhoven / Jong PSV U21)
- 1.22 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Eindhoven goals. Columns: Jong PSV U21 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Eindhoven | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Jong PSV U21 | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Eindhoven or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Jong PSV U21) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Eindhoven win by 2+ | 16% | 6.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21 recent form
FC Eindhoven
2W 1D 3L
Jong PSV U21
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Eindhoven at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Jong PSV U21 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Eindhoven at home only, Jong PSV U21 away only.
FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC Eindhoven 2 · draws 0 · Jong PSV U21 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Jong PSV U21 | 1-2 | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| 2025-12-05 | FC Eindhoven | 4-0 | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Vitesse vs Emmen 2026-10-23
- NAC Breda v Heracles — match page 2026-10-23
- FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport 2026-10-23
- Almere City FC v Roda — match page 2026-10-23
- Den Bosch vs MVV — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- FC OSS v Jong Ajax — match page 2026-10-23
Before and after this match
- FC Eindhoven, previous: FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse: odds and pick
- FC Eindhoven, next: FC Eindhoven – FC Volendam, 2026-10-27
- Jong PSV U21, previous: Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht prediction