Updated

Eliteserien · Matchday 12

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo

· Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansand· Referee Svein Tore Sinnes

Alin prediction KFUM Oslo to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Kristiansund BKDrawKFUM Oslo
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.36.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Kristiansund BK2.39 Draw3.60 KFUM Oslo2.97

Price as of

Expected return at 2.97: +10.5% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo preview

In the match between Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo, the 1X2 probabilities show KFUM Oslo at 53%, compared to Kristiansund BK's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.35 for Kristiansund BK and 2.07 for KFUM Oslo.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 66%. However, Kristiansund BK’s recent form includes three losses in their last five matches, which could affect their performance. KFUM Oslo has shown stronger form with three wins in their last five, but they also had a recent loss. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected results.

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKristiansund BKDrawKFUM Oslo
Model25%24%51%
Market40%27%33%
Published37%26%37%
Edge-4%-1%+5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.36.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices KFUM Oslo below our published probability: +4.6 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.97, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +10.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo odds movement

Median bookmaker price on KFUM Oslo, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 2.92Now 2.85 -0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Kristiansund BK2.322.30-0.02
Draw3.453.45+0.00
KFUM Oslo2.922.85-0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.36Kristiansund BK
1.98KFUM Oslo
Total expected goals
3.33
Attack rating (Kristiansund BK / KFUM Oslo)
0.91 / 1.01
Defence rating (Kristiansund BK / KFUM Oslo)
1.42 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.5% 6.1% 7.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1 3.9% 10.5% 9.5% 6.2% 4.8% 2 3.3% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 3.3% 3 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 1.5% 4+ 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.7%

Rows: Kristiansund BK goals. Columns: KFUM Oslo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Kristiansund BK37%2.73
Draw26%3.82
KFUM Oslo37%2.69
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.55
Under 2.535%2.83
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.54
No35%2.85
Double chance1X (Kristiansund BK or draw)63%1.59
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or KFUM Oslo)63%1.58
Handicap -1KFUM Oslo win by 2+30%3.32
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo recent form

Kristiansund BK 2W 0D 4L
KFUM Oslo 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Kristiansund BK at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Win rate
36%
Goals for / match
1.27
Goals against / match
1.64
Clean sheets
3 of 11
  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KFUM Oslo away

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-6
Win rate
18%
Goals for / match
1.18
Goals against / match
2.09
Clean sheets
1 of 11
  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Kristiansund BK at home only, KFUM Oslo away only.

Injuries & availability

Kristiansund BK absences

  • I. H. Aalberg groin injury

KFUM Oslo absences

  • A. Aleesami groin injury
  • A. Nouri injury
  • J. Gonstad injury
  • P. Meliga inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Kristiansund BK 0 · draws 1 · KFUM Oslo 2.

Kristiansund BKDrawsKFUM Oslo
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-02KFUM Oslo2-1Kristiansund BKEliteserien
2025-10-19KFUM Oslo1-1Kristiansund BKEliteserien
2025-07-26Kristiansund BK0-5KFUM OsloEliteserien

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot KFUM Oslo to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on KFUM Oslo
Our pick: KFUM Oslo to win 18+ Bet Now