Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea preview
In the Liga II fixture between Metaloglobus and CSM Ramnicu Valcea, the 1X2 probabilities show Metaloglobus at 47%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. The expected goals indicate Metaloglobus at 1.43 and CSM Ramnicu Valcea at 0.96, suggesting a close match but favoring the home side.
However, the recent form reveals that Metaloglobus has struggled, recording two losses in their last five matches, while CSM Ramnicu Valcea has a slightly better record with three wins in their last six. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 43% and both teams to score at 48%, indicating that while Metaloglobus is favored, unexpected performances could shift the outcome.
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea: model vs market
| Source | Metaloglobus | Draw | CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.96.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Metaloglobus, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metaloglobus | 2.14 | 2.12 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.25 | +0.05 |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 3.25 | 3.13 | -0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Metaloglobus and CSM Ramnicu Valcea expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Metaloglobus / CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
- 0.84 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Metaloglobus / CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
- 1.04 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Metaloglobus goals. Columns: CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metaloglobus | 44% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 | |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Metaloglobus or draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or CSM Ramnicu Valcea) | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | Metaloglobus win by 2+ | 24% | 4.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Metaloglobus and CSM Ramnicu Valcea recent form
Metaloglobus
1W 2D 3L
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Metaloglobus at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Metaloglobus at home only, CSM Ramnicu Valcea away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Metalul Buzău v Ştefăneşti — match page 2026-10-24
- Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page 2026-10-24
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-10-24
- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare 2026-10-25
- CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2026-10-25
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Metaloglobus, previous: CSA Steaua Bucureşti v Metaloglobus analysis
- Metaloglobus, next: FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus: odds and pick
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea, previous: CSM Ramnicu Valcea v FC Politehnica Timisoara analysis
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea, next: CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati: odds and pick