Cordoba vs Eibar preview
In the upcoming match between Cordoba and Eibar, the 1X2 probabilities show Cordoba at 39%, Eibar at 34%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% chance. Both teams to score has a 67% probability, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 66%.
Cordoba's recent form includes three wins and three losses, while Eibar has been more consistent with five wins and one draw in their last six matches. The expected goals for Cordoba is 1.45, compared to Eibar's 1.94. If Cordoba can improve their form, they might challenge the odds, but Eibar's stronger recent performance could lead to a different outcome.
Cordoba vs Eibar: model vs market
| Source | Cordoba | Draw | Eibar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Published | 38% | 26% | 35% |
| Edge | -14% | -3% | +17% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Cordoba vs Eibar odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cordoba, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 2.18 | 2.20 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.40 | +0.10 |
| Eibar | 3.20 | 3.00 | -0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cordoba and Eibar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Cordoba / Eibar)
- 1.03 / 1.33
- Defence rating (Cordoba / Eibar)
- 1.24 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cordoba vs Eibar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cordoba goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cordoba vs Eibar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cordoba vs Eibar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cordoba | 38% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Eibar | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cordoba or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Eibar) | 62% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cordoba win by 2+ | 13% | 7.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cordoba and Eibar recent form
Cordoba
3W 0D 3L
Eibar
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cordoba at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Eibar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cordoba at home only, Eibar away only.
Cordoba vs Eibar head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Cordoba 0 · draws 1 · Eibar 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Eibar | 2-0 | Cordoba | Segunda División |
| 2025-12-13 | Cordoba | 0-0 | Eibar | Segunda División |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Granada v Real Valladolid — match page 2026-10-23
- Leganes v Mallorca — match page 2026-10-24
- Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II 2026-10-24
- Girona vs Celta de Vigo II — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Almeria vs Real Oviedo 2026-10-24
- Sabadell v Tenerife — match page 2026-10-25
- Albacete vs Eldense — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Cadiz v AD Ceuta FC — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Cordoba, previous: Leganes – Cordoba, 2026-10-16
- Cordoba, next: Atlético Paso vs Cordoba prediction
- Eibar, previous: Eibar v Mallorca analysis
- Eibar, next: Pamplona vs Eibar: odds and pick