Sabadell vs Tenerife preview
In the match between Sabadell and Tenerife, the 1X2 probabilities show Sabadell at 48%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Sabadell's expected goals stand at 1.40, while Tenerife's is lower at 0.88. This suggests a potential edge for Sabadell in terms of scoring.
However, the match could deviate from this analysis. Both teams to score is at 45%, indicating a reasonable chance that Tenerife might find the net. Additionally, Sabadell's recent form includes two draws, which could affect their performance. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Sabadell vs Tenerife: model vs market
| Source | Sabadell | Draw | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Published | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sabadell vs Tenerife odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sabadell, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabadell | 2.17 | 1.98 | -0.19 |
| Draw | 3.16 | 3.15 | -0.01 |
| Tenerife | 3.78 | 3.92 | +0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sabadell and Tenerife expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Sabadell / Tenerife)
- 0.83 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Sabadell / Tenerife)
- 0.78 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sabadell vs Tenerife score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sabadell goals. Columns: Tenerife goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sabadell vs Tenerife goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sabadell vs Tenerife
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sabadell | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Tenerife | 24% | 4.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.32 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sabadell or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Tenerife) | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sabadell win by 2+ | 21% | 4.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Sabadell and Tenerife recent form
Sabadell
2W 2D 2L
Tenerife
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sabadell at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Tenerife away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sabadell at home only, Tenerife away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Cordoba vs Eibar 2026-10-24
- Leganes v Mallorca — match page 2026-10-24
- Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II 2026-10-24
- Girona vs Celta de Vigo II — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Almeria vs Real Oviedo 2026-10-24
- Albacete vs Eldense — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Cadiz v AD Ceuta FC — match page 2026-10-25
- Castellón vs Sporting Gijon — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Sabadell, previous: Burgos vs Sabadell prediction
- Sabadell, next: Utebo vs Sabadell prediction
- Tenerife, previous: Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife: odds and pick
- Tenerife, next: Badajoz – Tenerife, 2026-10-28