Portland Timbers vs Charlotte Prediction & Betting Tips 25/10/2026

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte preview

In the match between Portland Timbers and Charlotte, the 1X2 probabilities show Portland Timbers at 44% to win, while Charlotte stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams are showing different recent forms, with Portland Timbers struggling at D-L-D-L-L-L and Charlotte having a mixed form of D-L-W-L-W-D.

The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%. However, the expected goals indicate a close contest, with Portland Timbers at 1.62 and Charlotte slightly ahead at 1.82. This could mean that if either team fails to convert their chances, the predictions may not hold true.

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Portland Timbers	Draw	Charlotte
Model	34%	24%	42%
Market	47%	23%	30%
Published	44%	23%	33%
Edge	-3%	0%	+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded 2026-10-24 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Portland Timbers, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-18.

Opened 1.94Now 2.00 +0.06

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Portland Timbers	1.94	2.00	+0.06
Draw	4.03	4.05	+0.02
Charlotte	3.20	3.15	-0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Portland Timbers and Charlotte expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.62Portland Timbers

1.82Charlotte

Total expected goals: 3.44
Attack rating (Portland Timbers / Charlotte): 0.95 / 1.14
Defence rating (Portland Timbers / Charlotte): 1.15 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.2% 4.9% 5.3% 3.2% 2.2% 1 4.3% 10.4% 8.6% 5.2% 3.6% 2 4.2% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 2.9% 3 2.3% 4.1% 3.8% 2.3% 1.6% 4+ 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.9%

Rows: Portland Timbers goals. Columns: Charlotte goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 87%

Over 2.5 67%

Over 3.5 45%

Both teams to score: 68%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Portland Timbers	44%	2.29
	Draw	23%	4.26
	Charlotte	33%	3.05
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	67%	1.50
	Under 2.5	33%	3.01
Both teams to score	Yes	68%	1.47
	No	32%	3.14
Double chance	1X (Portland Timbers or draw)	67%	1.49
	12 (either side)	77%	1.31
	X2 (draw or Charlotte)	56%	1.78
Handicap -1	Portland Timbers win by 2+	17%	5.86
	Push (exactly one goal)	17%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer

18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.

Portland Timbers and Charlotte recent form

Portland Timbers 0W 2D 4L

Charlotte 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Portland Timbers at home

Record (W-D-L): 7-4-4
Win rate: 47%
Goals for / match: 2.07
Goals against / match: 1.67
Clean sheets: 2 of 15

They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Charlotte away

Record (W-D-L): 5-4-6
Win rate: 33%
Goals for / match: 1.60
Goals against / match: 1.93
Clean sheets: 2 of 15

They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Portland Timbers at home only, Charlotte away only.