Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol preview
In the Italy Serie B fixture between Juve Stabia and Sudtirol, the 1X2 probabilities show Juve Stabia at 41%, while Sudtirol sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance. Juve Stabia has struggled recently, with a form of D-D-D-L-W-L, while Sudtirol has a slightly better record of D-W-L-D-W-D.
The expected goals indicate Juve Stabia at 0.93 and Sudtirol at 1.04. There is a 32% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance for both teams to score. These figures suggest a close match, but if Juve Stabia's attack fails to improve, they might struggle to secure a win.
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol: model vs market
| Source | Juve Stabia | Draw | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 34% | 36% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
| Published | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Edge | -14% | +5% | +9% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.21, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Juve Stabia, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 2.11 | 2.12 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.33 | 3.26 | -0.07 |
| Sudtirol | 3.32 | 3.38 | +0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Juve Stabia and Sudtirol expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.98
- Attack rating (Juve Stabia / Sudtirol)
- 0.81 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Juve Stabia / Sudtirol)
- 1.08 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Juve Stabia goals. Columns: Sudtirol goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juve Stabia | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Sudtirol | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.46 |
| No | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Juve Stabia or draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Sudtirol) | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Juve Stabia win by 2+ | 11% | 8.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Juve Stabia and Sudtirol recent form
Juve Stabia
1W 3D 2L
Sudtirol
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Juve Stabia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Sudtirol away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Juve Stabia at home only, Sudtirol away only.
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Juve Stabia 2 · draws 1 · Sudtirol 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Sudtirol | 1-1 | Juve Stabia | Italy Serie B |
| 2025-12-27 | Juve Stabia | 1-0 | Sudtirol | Italy Serie B |
| 2025-04-27 | Sudtirol | 2-0 | Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| 2024-12-06 | Juve Stabia | 2-1 | Sudtirol | Serie B |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus 2026-10-17
- Ascoli v Empoli — match page 2026-10-17
- Padova vs Virtus Entella — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Carrarese vs Modena 2026-10-17
- Mantova v Palermo — match page 2026-10-17
- Pisa vs Cremonese 2026-10-17
- Cesena vs Avellino — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Sampdoria v Arezzo — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Juve Stabia, previous: Virtus Entella – Juve Stabia, 2026-10-10
- Juve Stabia, next: Cremonese – Juve Stabia, 2026-10-24
- Sudtirol, previous: Sudtirol v Ascoli analysis
- Sudtirol, next: Sudtirol vs Sampdoria: odds and pick