Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe preview
In the J1 League match between Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe, the 1X2 probabilities show Vissel Kobe at 42% and Kawasaki Frontale at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, indicating a close contest. Both teams have strong recent form, with Vissel Kobe winning their last 6 matches, while Kawasaki Frontale has 4 wins in their last 6.
The model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 64%. However, the confidence grade is C, which highlights uncertainty. If either team underperforms or if the match is more defensive than expected, these predictions could be off.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe: model vs market
| Source | Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 26% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.18
- Attack rating (Kawasaki Frontale / Vissel Kobe)
- 1.43 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Kawasaki Frontale / Vissel Kobe)
- 1.04 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kawasaki Frontale goals. Columns: Vissel Kobe goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Vissel Kobe | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kawasaki Frontale or draw) | 58% | 1.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Vissel Kobe) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vissel Kobe win by 2+ | 22% | 4.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe recent form
Kawasaki Frontale
4W 1D 1L
Vissel Kobe
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kawasaki Frontale at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vissel Kobe away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kawasaki Frontale at home only, Vissel Kobe away only.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Kawasaki Frontale 5 · draws 1 · Vissel Kobe 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-21 | Kawasaki Frontale | 1-2 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2025-04-16 | Vissel Kobe | 2-1 | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| 2024-08-07 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3-0 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2024-06-16 | Vissel Kobe | 1-0 | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| 2024-02-17 | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | Kawasaki Frontale | Super Cup |
| 2023-08-12 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0-1 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2023-07-22 | Vissel Kobe | 2-2 | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| 2022-10-29 | Kawasaki Frontale | 2-1 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2022-05-18 | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| 2021-09-29 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3-1 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
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Before and after this match
- Kawasaki Frontale, previous: Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale analysis
- Kawasaki Frontale, next: Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama analysis
- Vissel Kobe, previous: Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe prediction
- Vissel Kobe, next: Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: odds and pick