FC Andorra vs Burgos preview
In the match between FC Andorra and Burgos, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Andorra at 25%, a draw at 32%, and Burgos at 42%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 14% chance. FC Andorra has an expected goals figure of 0.86, while Burgos stands at 1.20, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Both teams to score has a probability of 42%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 34%. FC Andorra's recent form is L-W-D-W-L-L, while Burgos has a stronger run with W-L-L-W-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Factors like a sudden change in form or key player performances could influence the result.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: model vs market
| Source | FC Andorra | Draw | Burgos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 32% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 25% | 32% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Andorra and Burgos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.05
- Attack rating (FC Andorra / Burgos)
- 0.87 / 0.90
- Defence rating (FC Andorra / Burgos)
- 1.13 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Andorra vs Burgos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Andorra goals. Columns: Burgos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Andorra vs Burgos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Andorra vs Burgos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Andorra | 25% | 3.95 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Burgos | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.41 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Andorra or draw) | 58% | 1.73 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Burgos) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | Burgos win by 2+ | 19% | 5.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FC Andorra and Burgos recent form
FC Andorra
2W 1D 3L
Burgos
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Andorra at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Burgos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Andorra at home only, Burgos away only.
FC Andorra vs Burgos head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: FC Andorra 2 · draws 1 · Burgos 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Burgos | 1-0 | FC Andorra | Segunda División |
| 2025-08-31 | FC Andorra | 2-1 | Burgos | Segunda División |
| 2024-05-18 | FC Andorra | 1-0 | Burgos | Segunda División |
| 2023-11-25 | Burgos | 0-0 | FC Andorra | Segunda División |
| 2023-01-15 | Burgos | 2-1 | FC Andorra | Segunda División |
| 2022-10-12 | FC Andorra | 0-1 | Burgos | Segunda División |
| 2020-12-16 | Burgos | 2-0 | FC Andorra | Copa del Rey |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Leganes v Mallorca — match page 2026-10-24
- Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II 2026-10-24
- Girona vs Celta de Vigo II — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Almeria vs Real Oviedo 2026-10-24
- Sabadell v Tenerife — match page 2026-10-25
- Albacete vs Eldense — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Cadiz v AD Ceuta FC — match page 2026-10-25
- Castellón vs Sporting Gijon — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- FC Andorra, previous: Girona vs FC Andorra: odds and pick
- FC Andorra, next: Varea vs FC Andorra prediction
- Burgos, previous: Burgos vs Sabadell prediction
- Burgos, next: Laredo – Burgos, 2026-10-29